Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.825415 15.572645 17.470864 19.688728 22.212085 24.997264 28.309340
2025-03-09 11.044483 13.309951 15.954554 19.279006 23.359609 28.221594 34.478625
2025-03-16 9.043432 11.567020 14.706415 18.919727 24.458234 31.533936 41.328068
2025-03-23 7.820153 10.565886 14.188531 19.356595 26.602987 36.494766 51.179103
2025-03-30 6.670677 9.471706 13.370431 19.253030 28.008826 40.723401 60.884911
2025-04-06 5.633025 8.365996 12.359456 18.702364 28.677992 44.021258 69.904907
2025-04-13 4.846542 7.502373 11.561594 18.324855 29.525950 47.716470 80.269991
2025-04-20 4.377809 7.050918 11.316881 18.761209 31.726827 53.935811 96.071394
2025-04-27 4.001613 6.689310 11.156533 19.301469 34.185004 61.018172 114.889441
2025-05-04 3.628738 6.277679 10.849210 19.531497 36.126479 67.523970 134.039057
2025-05-11 3.218615 5.743291 10.251266 19.136974 36.834533 71.839894 149.791623
2025-05-18 2.869838 5.271511 9.699091 18.737708 37.456557 76.085356 166.328571
2025-05-25 2.573956 4.867133 9.232431 18.464624 38.356277 81.218189 186.400236
2025-06-01 2.342382 4.555795 8.902906 18.420458 39.741371 87.690376 211.269460
2025-06-08 2.134484 4.264048 8.572754 18.324039 41.002537 94.158734 237.860795
2025-06-15 2.015655 4.138159 8.565298 18.931878 43.993160 105.314420 279.586407
2025-06-22 1.860397 3.915289 8.321780 18.966537 45.632269 113.522384 315.645425
2025-06-29 1.686056 3.629046 7.901792 18.521190 46.005352 118.586709 344.197635
2025-07-06 1.542433 3.392873 7.562596 18.216739 46.683877 124.610902 377.379589
2025-07-13 1.466045 3.300000 7.541073 18.702160 49.559630 137.360520 435.607185
2025-07-20 1.401258 3.225954 7.554060 19.279625 52.809577 151.947961 504.597983
2025-07-27 1.323419 3.111091 7.452704 19.538228 55.208635 164.563173 570.954378
2025-08-03 1.219585 2.920328 7.137935 19.164153 55.674055 171.285602 618.186039